We are going to spend some time on NVDA and Jensen’s problem
Remember, biggest moves happen in BEAR markets
CPI hits hot again – now they are talking about
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Little Jensen Came Out To Play
Warm-Up
- People getting wrecked - the stories I can tell you coming in
- VIX rockets to 26 - came in since but wow
- We are going to spend some time on NVDA and Jensen's problem
Markets
- Remember, biggest moves happen in BEAR markets
- It is not only NVDA - the entire tech space is taking a beating
- Thursday shellacking, leads to Friday, Monday Rally ( I have seen this before)
- CPI hits hot again - now they are talking about
DHU MAILING LIST! - Go to DHUnplugged.com
First a Public Service Announcement - Buying a House In Mexico?
MEXICO'S HOME-STEALING BUSINESS
- Criminals target vacant properties, break in, change the locks and produce forged deeds or leases; some owners return from vacation to find strangers claiming their home.
- Rising property values have pushed the racket into wealthier neighborhoods. Older owners and homes left unattended after a death are especially vulnerable.
- Mexico City recorded 1,978 dispossession investigations in the first half of 2026, roughly 11 daily. These figures include ownership and family disputes, not just gang invasions.
- Fake paperwork can turn a criminal takeover into a lengthy civil dispute. Lawyers say recovery can take eight months to two years with clear records, or over five years without them.
- Authorities have offered 100 pro bono lawyers and reported hundreds of arrests, but victims can face continuing threats even after recovering their property.
HERE WE GO! RIPS AND PACKED.
**What they are: Rips and Packed are trading-card platforms where you pay to open digital packs containing randomly assigned sports or Pokémon cards.
**How they work: You can request delivery of the physical card or sell it back to the platform—so customers can participate without ever handling a card.
**The attraction: They combine collectible-card enthusiasm with the suspense of a surprise reveal and the possibility of landing a card worth more than you paid.
**Why they’re controversial: They’ve promoted cards as potential money for bills, yet a $100 Packed purchase reportedly has at least a 70% chance of yielding a card worth less than its price—raising questions about collecting versus gambling.
<Market Selloff>
RUMORS THAT TECH HEAVY HEDGE FUNDS MY BE IMPLODING
- Value Aligned Research Advisors (VARA) plunged 33% in October after losing 44% in July.
- Its Class C shares remained up 13% for the year despite the latest drawdown.
- The AI-focused fund said it maintained excess margin, unchanged counterparty relationships and leverage near its historical low.
- A massive loss, but no confirmed shutdown or insolvency.
---- Arini Capital: Its flagship credit fund lost 19.7% in October, taking its year-to-date loss to 32%. Its five largest positions represented roughly two-thirds of net assets, with heavy exposure to low-rated CCC debt. It sold positions and reduced leverage, but also reported $389 million in fresh inflows.
JENSEN LOSES HIS TOP-TEN SEAT
- Nvidia's 9.3% slide erased $15.1 billion from Jensen Huang's estimated wealth, leaving $150.9 billion.
- He fell from ninth to 13th on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
- Musk lost $79.7 billion; Larry Ellison lost $10.1 billion. The index's 500 richest lost $185 billion combined.
Favorite thing I saw on X?
- NVDA drops 10% after election fallout, and another 10% after the erection fallout
JAPAN CASHES OUT TO SPEND
- Japan plans to channel profits from stepped-up BOJ ETF sales into growth and economic-security projects.
- Annual ETF sales are increasing to 860 billion yen, about $5.5 billion, from 330 billion yen.
- The budget benefits through central-bank profit transfers; gross ETF-sale proceeds do not simply become government spending money.
CHIP ROUT CROSSES THE PACIFIC
- South Korea's KOSPI closed down 6.02% after falling as much as 8.8%, triggering a 20-minute trading halt Friday.
- SK Hynix fell 10.4%; Samsung dropped 6.4%. The KOSPI lost 11.7% for the week.
- Japan's SoftBank fell 11.6%; chip-testing supplier Advantest dropped 12.2%.
- Selling reflected fears of restrictions on data-center expansion following the U.S. election; actual investment delays remain uncertain.
BIG CASH PILE, BIGGER COMMITMENTS
- Anthropic's updated filing shows $131.8 billion in cash and short-term investments.
- Total liquidity of $146.6 billion also includes available credit; that portion is not cash in the bank.
- Purchase and lease commitments total $895.4 billion, with $69.8 billion due over the next 12 months.
- About $447.5 billion is expected through 2030; most remaining commitments extend through 2045.
ANTHROPIC'S TRILLION-DOLLAR HAIRCUT
- Earlier IPO hopes approached $2 trillion; prospective investors now discuss $1.2-$1.3 trillion, with some considering $1.1 trillion.
- Formal IPO marketing is expected next week; these are investor indications, not a final offering price.
- Third-quarter revenue reached $17 billion, but the company reported a $23.3 billion quarterly net loss.
- Nine-month losses included a $94 billion financing-related accounting adjustment; headline losses are not equivalent to cash burn.
MICROSOFT UNPLUGS ORACLE CAPACITY
- Microsoft reportedly declined to renew an Oracle AI-computing contract and has been switching off rented capacity.
- The servers used older Nvidia chips that no longer met Microsoft's evolving specifications.
- The arrangement began in 2023 to support AI-powered Bing; its full financial size was not disclosed.
- Separately, IREN delayed infrastructure deliveries after Microsoft requested network-design changes.
JENSEN AND NVDA
- JSD tells it like it is....
MODERNA - GOOD DATA, TERRIBLE STOCK REACTION
- Moderna shares plunged 17.6% despite positive cancer data.
- Merck partnership showed a 42% reduction in melanoma recurrence or death risk.
- Two-year cancer-free survival: 82.2% versus 70%.
- Trial results reportedly leaked ahead of conference; shares had already gained over 500% earlier this year.
Lesson: WHY MODERNA PLUNGED DESPITE GOOD RESULTS
- EXPECTATIONS TOO HIGH - Moderna shares had surged more than 500% in 2026, pricing in nearly perfect cancer vaccine results.
- KEY DATA DISAPPOINTED - Vaccine reduced melanoma recurrence or death risk by 42%, but distant metastasis risk reduction was only 38%, versus 59%-65% in earlier trials.
- EARLY DATA LEAK - Results appeared on an oncology website before the scheduled presentation, triggering heavy selling and a 17.6% stock plunge.
MERGER COLLAPSES OVER WHO GETS THE TOP JOB
- Johnson & Johnson and Smith & Nephew discussed merging J&J's orthopedic medical-device business.
- Financial terms and deal structure reportedly agreed.
- J&J favored former Smith & Nephew CEO Namal Nawana; Smith & Nephew favored current CEO Deepak Nath.
- Advanced negotiations reportedly collapsed over who would lead the combined company.
- Obviously this was never about what is best for shareholders - rather what is best for management....
PRESS BRIEFING OR FIGHT NIGHT?
- Trump says he offered UFC chief Dana White the White House press secretary job.
- He suggested White bring MMA fighters as assistants, including Khabib Nurmagomedov and Amanda Nunes.
- Acceptance and a formal appointment were not confirmed in the reports.
SEIZURES DROP MORE THAN 90%
- Three patients with drug-resistant epilepsy received experimental gene therapy directly into their brains.
- The treatment combined gene-carrying viruses with low-dose clozapine; average seizure frequency fell 92.6%.
- Early results from just three people; effectiveness and safety still need confirmation in larger trials.
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